bkfc-fight-night-sturgis Preview & Picks

bkfc-fight-night-sturgis takes place on Friday, August 7, 2026 at BUFFALO CHIP. The main event features Bryant Acheson vs Mike Jones. The card features 9 bouts. Below is our model's read — top edge picks, highest-predictability reads, underdog watch, and a per-bout breakdown generated from the same factor data that powers the research page.

Fights to Watch

Tyler Randall vs Joshua Oxendine

Predictability 52

Bantamweight · Model leans Joshua Oxendine (Medium)
Art Driscoll vs Justin Walters

Predictability 38

Middleweight · Model leans Justin Walters (Low)
Erick Lozano vs Devon Schwan

Predictability 34

Cruiserweight · Model leans Erick Lozano (Low)

Underdog Watch

No high-edge underdogs flagged on this card.

Main Card Breakdown

Bryant Acheson vs Mike Jones · Cruiserweight

The model favors Mike Jones based on age (41 vs 36). Advantage 45/55, predictability 21 (Very Low).

Bear Hill vs Brady Meister · Heavyweight

The model favors Bear Hill based on recent form (hill hotter) and bkfc record (60% vs 50% win rate). Advantage 64/36, predictability 30 (Very Low).

Shyanna Bintliff vs Crystal Pittman · Women's Bantamweight

The model favors Crystal Pittman based on recent form (pittman hotter) and bkfc experience (+7 fights pittman). Advantage 50/50, predictability 27 (Low).

Zeb Vincent vs Pietie Coxen · Middleweight

The model favors Pietie Coxen on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Tyler Randall vs Joshua Oxendine · Bantamweight

The model favors Joshua Oxendine based on mma background (oxendine deeper background) and bkfc record (50% vs 67% win rate). Advantage 42/58, predictability 52 (Medium).

Erick Lozano vs Devon Schwan · Cruiserweight

The model favors Erick Lozano based on recent form (lozano hotter) and bkfc experience (+8 fights lozano). Advantage 54/46, predictability 34 (Low).

Art Driscoll vs Justin Walters · Middleweight

The model favors Justin Walters based on activity (walters more active) and opponent quality (walters tougher schedule). Advantage 42/58, predictability 38 (Low).

Jason Simon vs Jason Sanderson · Welterweight

The model favors Jason Sanderson on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Traevon Kroger vs Kb Dubeau-Staby · Featherweight

The model favors Kb Dubeau-Staby on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Dig deeper into the numbers

Full per-bout factor tables, advantage rows, model-vs-market edge bars.

Open research → Full card →