About bkfc.propsbot.ai

bkfc.propsbot.ai is a public, free-to-use intelligence tool for Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship and Bare Knuckle Boxing fans and bettors. Every card, every bout, every fighter — with model-generated predictions, live odds, edge analysis, and a public accuracy ledger.

No signup, no paywall, no affiliate unlock. It exists because bare-knuckle markets are inefficient and there wasn't a good data-driven tool covering them — so we built one.

We're the team behind PropsBot.AI — a player-props prediction platform running since 2023 across NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL. Our proprietary model has a 30% ROI across 50,000+ tracked bets on mainstream sports, and we're applying the same discipline to bare-knuckle here.

bkfc.propsbot.ai is a spinoff: same methodology, specialized for BKFC's unique ruleset and fight dynamics. It's maintained by David (david@propsbot.ai) and runs on GitHub Pages with a daily auto-update pipeline.

The prediction engine scores every bout on 14 factors — BKFC record, recent form, KO rate, point-in-time ELO, pro-boxing background, MMA grappling, reach, age, style matchup, activity, and more. Each factor is independently calibrated on historical data and weight-blended into a final Advantage Score.

Our current live accuracy (as of the latest calibration): 59.8% on 127 point-in-time backtested picks, Brier score 0.2473 vs 0.25 baseline, +9.8 percentage-point edge over coin-flip across 325 historical bouts. The full methodology is at /guide/methodology/, with per-factor accuracy broken out.

Every live prediction is logged to /accuracy/ and reconciled against the actual result within hours of each event. We don't cherry-pick picks, don't revise our predictions post-hoc, and don't hide losses. The dashboard is our public receipts.

• Fight schedule + results: BKFC.com official (scraped daily) and BKB Bare Knuckle official results
• Fighter records + physicals: BKFC.com fighter profiles, with Wikipedia cross-references
• Live odds: xbet.ag and BestFightOdds (multi-book consensus, scraped every 30 minutes)
• ELO ratings: point-in-time reconstructed from our full event history — each fighter's rating at the moment of each fight, not their current rating

Data freshness timestamps are visible on every event page. If you spot an error, email david@propsbot.ai.

The model is wrong roughly 4 out of every 10 bets it recommends. It's a decision aid, not a crystal ball. BKFC intangibles (cut depth, weight cut stress, camp news, injuries) aren't fully captured by data. Use our picks as one input among many, confirm with additional research, and never bet more than you can lose.

Full responsible-gambling guidance: /guide/responsible-gambling/.

• Email: david@propsbot.ai
• Parent company: PropsBot.AI
• Source + data pipeline: open-source on GitHub

Affiliation note: bkfc.propsbot.ai is not affiliated with Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship or BKB Bare Knuckle. All trademarks are property of their respective owners.