Bryce Henry
VS
bkfc-fight-night-mohegan-sun-2 Recap
Thursday, August 20, 2026
MOHEGAN SUN
Carlos Trinidad
TL;DR: Model went 3/7 on bkfc-fight-night-mohegan-sun-2 (43%). Correctly called Lardy Navarro, Joey Gambino. Missed on Joseph Creer, Sophia Hayes.
Results Summary
3 of 7 picks correct (42.9%)
bkfc-fight-night-mohegan-sun-2 · Thursday, August 20, 2026
What This Tells Us
Rough night — 3/7 (42.9%) lands 16.1pt below our 59.0% backtest baseline. Variance is part of the deal; the factor model will mean-revert over the next few cards.
Per-Bout Breakdown
| Matchup | Our Pick | Winner | Hit? | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Vidal vs Joseph Creer Light Heavyweight |
Cody Vidal Low |
Joseph Creer | × | Unanimous Decision R5 |
| Lardy Navarro vs Robert Fichtner Bantamweight |
Lardy Navarro Very Low |
Lardy Navarro | ✓ | TKO R2 |
| Joey Gambino vs Tommy Strydom Featherweight |
Joey Gambino Medium |
Joey Gambino | ✓ | TKO R2 |
| Chris Perreault vs Joe Powers Light Heavyweight |
Chris Perreault Very Low |
Chris Perreault | ✓ | TKO R1 |
| Alexandra Ballou vs Sophia Hayes Women's Bantamweight |
Alexandra Ballou Very Low |
Sophia Hayes | × | TKO R2 |
| Brandon Bushaw vs Matt Denning Lightweight |
Brandon Bushaw Very Low |
Matt Denning | × | TKO R4 |
| Kris Moutinho vs Michael Hernandez Featherweight |
Michael Hernandez Very Low |
Kris Moutinho | × | TKO R3 |
Full event page
Main event card + complete results by weight class.