Completed
Bryce Henry
Bryce Henry
8-0 · age 25 US
VS

bkfc-fight-night-mohegan-sun-2

Welterweight · 5 rounds
Carlos Trinidad
Carlos Trinidad
7-2 · age 30 US
Thursday, August 20, 2026 MOHEGAN SUN Watch: BKFC+

Full Fight Card

Recap Model vs actual — hits, misses, method
What the model got right, what it got wrong, and how this card stacks up against our backtest baseline.
Read recap →
Main Event · Welterweight
Bryce Henry 70 ADV
USBryce Henry
8-0 · age 25 · 80" reach
VS
Carlos Trinidad 30 ADV
USCarlos Trinidad
7-2 · age 30 · 78" reach
Predictability
52 Marginal
Prop markets (2)
Fight Goes Distance
Yes (Decision)
+271
No (Finish)
-271
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
-111
Doctor Stoppage
+389
Decision
+271
Model vs Market · Low confidence
Model
70%
30%
Co-Main · Light Heavyweight
Cody Vidal
4-2 · United States
VS
Joseph Creer
7-3 · United States · "DARK KNIGHT"
Joseph Creer def. Cody Vidal via Unanimous Decision · R5
Main Card · Bantamweight
Lardy Navarro
5-1 · United States · "SITO"
VS
Robert Fichtner
0-1
Lardy Navarro def. Robert Fichtner via TKO · R2
Main Card · Lightweight
Nate Ghareeb 55 ADV
USNate Ghareeb
0-1 · age 33 · 69" reach
VS
Nash Diederichs 45 ADV
CANash Diederichs
1-2 · age 26 · 70" reach
Predictability
23 Weak signal
Ghareeb
-345
77.5%
Diederichs
+230
30.3%
Prop markets (2)
Fight Goes Distance
Yes (Decision)
+242
No (Finish)
-242
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
-104
Doctor Stoppage
+404
Decision
+242
Model vs Market · Low confidence ⚠️ Edge 16.9pt Diederichs
Model
55%
45%
Main Card · Bantamweight
Jared Lennon 71 ADV
USJared Lennon
1-2 · age 30 · 73" reach
VS
Dominick Carey 29 ADV
USDominick Carey
2-1 · age 25 · 70" reach
Predictability
48 Marginal
Lennon
-286
74.1%
Carey
+195
33.9%
Prop markets (2)
Fight Goes Distance
Yes (Decision)
+214
No (Finish)
-214
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
+104
Doctor Stoppage
+424
Decision
+214
Model vs Market · Low confidence
Model
71%
29%
Main Card · Featherweight
Joey Gambino
2-0 · United States · "THE RAGING WARRIOR"
VS
Tommy Strydom
4-3 · South Africa · "The Farmer"
Joey Gambino def. Tommy Strydom via TKO · R2
Main Card · Women's Bantamweight
Alexandra Ballou
0-1 · United States · "THE GREAT"
VS
Sophia Hayes
0-1 · United States
Sophia Hayes def. Alexandra Ballou via TKO · R2
Main Card · Welterweight
Isaiah Williams 32 ADV
USIsaiah Williams
0-1 · age 34 · 73" reach
VS
Nate Larocco 68 ADV
Nate Larocco
0-0
Predictability ⚠ Limited BKFC signal — both fighters debut-tier
Prop markets (2)
Fight Goes Distance
Yes (Decision)
+257
No (Finish)
-257
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
-108
Doctor Stoppage
+396
Decision
+257
Model vs Market · Very Low confidence
Model
32%
68%
Main Card · Featherweight
Kris Moutinho
1-0
VS
Michael Hernandez
1-1 · United States · "Hurricane"
Kris Moutinho def. Michael Hernandez via TKO · R3
Main Event · Welterweight
Bryce Henry 72 ADV
USBryce Henry
8-0 · age 25 · 80" reach
VS
28 ADV
Carlos Trinidad-Snake
1-1
Predictability
53 Marginal
Henry
-245
71.0%
Trinidad-Snake
+170
37.0%
Prop markets (2)
Fight Goes Distance
Yes (Decision)
+250
No (Finish)
-250
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
-106
Doctor Stoppage
+400
Decision
+250
Model vs Market · Low confidence ⚠️ Edge 5.9pt Henry
Model
72%
28%

Event Info

bkfc-fight-night-mohegan-sun-2 takes place on Thursday, August 20, 2026 at MOHEGAN SUN in . The card features 12 bouts across multiple weight classes.