bkfc-fight-night-clearwater-4 Preview & Picks

bkfc-fight-night-clearwater-4 takes place on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at OCC ROAD HOUSE. The main event features Royal Ryan Reber vs Justin Street. The card features 10 bouts. Below is our model's read — top edge picks, highest-predictability reads, underdog watch, and a per-bout breakdown generated from the same factor data that powers the research page.

Fights to Watch

Royal Ryan Reber vs Justin Street

Predictability 72

Bantamweight · Model leans Royal Ryan Reber (High)
Tony Murphy vs Brandon Conley

Predictability 53

Middleweight · Model leans Tony Murphy (Low)
Jason DiNunzio vs Gabriel Freyre

Predictability 53

Lightweight · Model leans Gabriel Freyre (Medium)

Underdog Watch

No high-edge underdogs flagged on this card.

Main Card Breakdown

Royal Ryan Reber vs Justin Street · Bantamweight

The model favors Royal Ryan Reber based on reach (+3" reber) and activity (reber more active). Advantage 58/42, predictability 72 (High).

Jared Warren vs Thomas Angeloff · Light Heavyweight

The model favors Thomas Angeloff on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Michael Larrimore vs Nate Morrow · Bantamweight

The model favors Michael Larrimore based on bkfc experience (+4 fights larrimore). Advantage 50/50, predictability 30 (Low).

Mike Heckert vs Rickie McConnico · Welterweight

The model favors Mike Heckert based on recent form (heckert hotter) and bkfc record (60% vs 33% win rate). Advantage 66/34, predictability 46 (Low).

Crystal van Wyk vs Noelia Vasallo · Strawweight

The model favors Crystal van Wyk based on recent form (wyk hotter) and ko rate (15 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 64/36, predictability 31 (Very Low).

Tony Murphy vs Brandon Conley · Middleweight

The model favors Tony Murphy based on bkfc record (80% vs 60% win rate) and age (34 vs 37). Advantage 72/28, predictability 53 (Low).

Tyler Baker vs Yari Kaganovsky · Middleweight

The model favors Yari Kaganovsky on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Sam Delao vs Chris Keirn · Light Heavyweight

The model favors Chris Keirn on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Jason DiNunzio vs Gabriel Freyre · Lightweight

The model favors Gabriel Freyre based on bkfc record (25% vs 50% win rate) and reach (-3" freyre). Advantage 36/64, predictability 53 (Medium).

Chachi Versace vs Angelo Trujillo ·

The model favors Chachi Versace based on recent form (versace hotter) and opponent quality (versace tougher schedule). Advantage 50/50, predictability 28 (Low).

Dig deeper into the numbers

Full per-bout factor tables, advantage rows, model-vs-market edge bars.

Open research → Full card →