bkfc-fight-night-bethlehem Preview & Picks

bkfc-fight-night-bethlehem takes place on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at WIND CREEK EVENT CENTER. The main event features Gregoris Cisneros vs Ryan Petersen. The card features 10 bouts. Below is our model's read — top edge picks, highest-predictability reads, underdog watch, and a per-bout breakdown generated from the same factor data that powers the research page.

Fights to Watch

Lex Ludlow vs Brock Walker

Predictability 51

Cruiserweight · Model leans Lex Ludlow (Low)
Christian Torres vs Brett Shoenfelt

Predictability 45

Welterweight · Model leans Brett Shoenfelt (Low)
Travis Thompson vs Nick Burgos

Predictability 45

Bantamweight · Model leans Nick Burgos (Medium)

Underdog Watch

No high-edge underdogs flagged on this card.

Main Card Breakdown

Gregoris Cisneros vs Ryan Petersen · Welterweight

The model favors Ryan Petersen based on recent form (petersen hotter). Advantage 48/52, predictability 26 (Low).

Christian Torres vs Brett Shoenfelt · Welterweight

The model favors Brett Shoenfelt based on recent form (shoenfelt hotter) and bkfc record (30% vs 50% win rate). Advantage 30/70, predictability 45 (Low).

Lex Ludlow vs Brock Walker · Cruiserweight

The model favors Lex Ludlow based on recent form (ludlow hotter) and bkfc record (83% vs 40% win rate). Advantage 75/25, predictability 51 (Low).

Mike Liberto vs Jojo Schillizzi · Light Heavyweight

The model favors Jojo Schillizzi on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Jay Haas vs Antonio Castillo Jr · Lightweight

The model favors Antonio Castillo Jr on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Taylor Dagner vs Marisol Ruelas · Women's Flyweight

The model favors Taylor Dagner based on bkfc record (50% vs 25% win rate) and height (+4" dagner). Advantage 77/23, predictability 44 (Very Low).

Travis Thompson vs Nick Burgos · Bantamweight

The model favors Nick Burgos based on recent form (burgos hotter) and ko rate (-18 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 49/51, predictability 45 (Medium).

Brian Newman vs Mark Culp · Heavyweight

The model favors Brian Newman based on bkfc record (50% vs 33% win rate). Advantage 67/33, predictability 38 (Very Low).

Lewis Rumsey vs Maurice Morris · Ironweight

The model favors Maurice Morris based on recent form (morris hotter) and bkfc record (33% vs 50% win rate). Advantage 40/60, predictability 38 (Low).

Nathaniel James vs Marc Worthington · Heavyweight

The model favors Marc Worthington on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Dig deeper into the numbers

Full per-bout factor tables, advantage rows, model-vs-market edge bars.

Open research → Full card →