bkfc-94-manchester Preview & Picks

bkfc-94-manchester takes place on Friday, September 25, 2026 at AO Arena. The main event features Darren Till vs Yoel Romero. The card features 13 bouts. Below is our model's read — top edge picks, highest-predictability reads, underdog watch, and a per-bout breakdown generated from the same factor data that powers the research page.

Fights to Watch

Mikey Henderson vs Matthew Wiwczaryk

Predictability 68

Welterweight · Model leans Mikey Henderson (Medium)
Karl Thompson vs Andy Thornton

Predictability 61

Cruiserweight · Model leans Karl Thompson (Medium)
Luke Vaughan vs Bartlomiej Krol

Predictability 48

Welterweight · Model leans Bartlomiej Krol (Low)

Underdog Watch

No high-edge underdogs flagged on this card.

Main Card Breakdown

Darren Till vs Yoel Romero · Cruiserweight

The model favors Darren Till based on bkfc record (67% vs 50% win rate). Advantage 67/33, predictability 38 (Very Low).

David Mundell vs Jack Cullen · Middleweight · Title

The model favors Jack Cullen based on recent form (cullen hotter) and age (35 vs 32). Advantage 37/63, predictability 44 (Low).

Gaz Corran vs Mac Bygraves · Middleweight · Title

The model favors Gaz Corran based on recent form (corran hotter) and ko rate (65 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 73/27, predictability 47 (Low).

Karl Thompson vs Andy Thornton · Cruiserweight · Title

The model favors Karl Thompson based on recent form (thompson hotter) and opponent quality (thompson tougher schedule). Advantage 65/35, predictability 61 (Medium).

Joe Lister vs Harrison Cave · Middleweight

The model favors Joe Lister based on recent form (lister hotter) and bkfc record (60% vs 50% win rate). Advantage 68/32, predictability 38 (Very Low).

Mikey Henderson vs Matthew Wiwczaryk · Welterweight

The model favors Mikey Henderson based on recent form (henderson hotter) and reach (+7" henderson). Advantage 72/28, predictability 68 (Medium).

Stew Martin vs Curtis Davies · Featherweight

The model favors Stew Martin based on activity (martin more active) and opponent quality (martin tougher schedule). Advantage 52/48, predictability 22 (Very Low).

Ste Wallwork vs Leigh Cohoon · Middleweight

The model favors Leigh Cohoon based on bkfc record (50% vs 80% win rate) and ko rate (-32 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 27/73, predictability 41 (Very Low).

Luke Vaughan vs Bartlomiej Krol · Welterweight

The model favors Bartlomiej Krol based on recent form (krol hotter) and bkfc record (50% vs 67% win rate). Advantage 31/69, predictability 48 (Low).

Liam Dooley vs Tyrone Hamer · Welterweight

The model favors Liam Dooley based on recent form (dooley hotter) and ko rate (65 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 77/23, predictability 44 (Very Low).

Benjamin Lowe vs Dan McGraffin · Middleweight

The model favors Dan McGraffin based on recent form (mcgraffin hotter) and bkfc record (25% vs 56% win rate). Advantage 31/69, predictability 44 (Low).

Joe Lister vs Harry Bray · Middleweight

The model favors Harry Bray based on ko rate (-50 pt ko-rate gap) and activity (bray more active). Advantage 38/62, predictability 40 (Low).

Luke Bassnett vs Darren Willans · Welterweight

The model favors Darren Willans on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

Dig deeper into the numbers

Full per-bout factor tables, advantage rows, model-vs-market edge bars.

Open research → Full card →