BKFC 90 Birmingham: Tierney vs. Franco Preview & Picks

BKFC 90 Birmingham: Tierney vs. Franco takes place on Saturday, May 30, 2026 at Utilita Arena Birmingham in Birmingham, United Kingdom. The main event is for the BKFC Welterweight Championship between Connor Tierney vs Rico Franco. The card features 8 bouts. Below is our model's read — top edge picks, highest-predictability reads, underdog watch, and a per-bout breakdown generated from the same factor data that powers the research page.

Fights to Watch

Connor Tierney vs Rico Franco

Predictability 42

Welterweight · Model leans Rico Franco (Low)
John Phillips vs Ryan Barrett

Predictability 36

Cruiserweight · Model leans John Phillips (Very Low)
George Thorpe vs Leigh Cohoon

Predictability 35

Middleweight · Model leans George Thorpe (Low)

Underdog Watch

No high-edge underdogs flagged on this card.

Main Card Breakdown

Connor Tierney vs Rico Franco · Welterweight · Title

The model favors Rico Franco based on recent form (franco hotter) and bkfc record (33% vs 75% win rate). Advantage 33/67, predictability 42 (Low).

John Phillips vs Ryan Barrett · Cruiserweight · Title

The model favors John Phillips based on recent form (phillips hotter) and ko rate (65 pt ko-rate gap). Advantage 70/30, predictability 36 (Very Low).

Jonno Chipchase vs Brian Hyslop · Bantamweight · Title

The model favors Jonno Chipchase based on ko rate (65 pt ko-rate gap) and reach (+8" chipchase). Advantage 65/35, predictability 32 (Very Low).

Mike Wilkinson vs Luke Brassfield · Welterweight

The model favors Luke Brassfield based on home (brassfield fights at home). Advantage 42/58, predictability 32 (Very Low).

Nathan Leeson vs Stevie Devenport · Lightweight

The model favors Stevie Devenport on aggregate factor weight. Advantage 50/50, predictability 18 (Very Low).

George Thorpe vs Leigh Cohoon · Middleweight

The model favors George Thorpe based on age (29 vs 41) and reach (+5" thorpe). Advantage 53/47, predictability 35 (Low).

Paul O'Sullivan vs Paul Hilz · Middleweight

The model favors Paul O'Sullivan based on home (o'sullivan fights at home). Advantage 58/42, predictability 32 (Very Low).

Tommy Hawthorn vs Will Smith · Lightweight

The model favors Tommy Hawthorn based on age (30 vs 36). Advantage 54/46, predictability 20 (Very Low).

Dig deeper into the numbers

Full per-bout factor tables, advantage rows, model-vs-market edge bars.

Open research → Full card →